The margin for error right here will get ever thinner. Engaged on a model of my fantasy factors per recreation (FPPG) projections to suss out worth in these “remainder of season” rankings is getting a bit ugly. As a result of the ESPN.com recreation cuts off on Could 13 and the NHL has prolonged the season past that as a result of Vancouver Canucks prolonged layoff, the remaining video games imbalance is being pushed to excessive ranges.
The poor fantasy managers invested within the Calgary Flames cannot be happy with the remaining schedule. The Flames solely have 5 extra video games to depend for fantasy. The Los Angeles Kings, Canucks, St. Louis Blues and Colorado Avalanche, for instance, have 10. Vince Dunn is extra interesting than Mark Giordano below these circumstances, and it is not that shut.
Total, I like to make use of a blended FPPG projection towards the tip of the season, which is evenly weighted FPPG for your entire season averaged with the previous month for every participant. I then apply that FPPG common to the participant’s remaining video games. Within the case of goaltenders I do an identical mixing of crease share and fantasy factors per 60 (FPP60) – each for your entire season with the previous month – and it offers an identical projection for remaining factors.
The rationale I carry up how the sausage is made right here is that the remaining projected factors are very shut among the many prime 250. From No. 1 to No. 250 for remaining projected fantasy factors is barely a distinction of 20.9 fantasy factors (31.eight to 10.9 fantasy factors).
The distinction from No. 100 to No. 250 is barely four.zero fantasy factors (14.9 to 10.9 fantasy factors). That is only one good recreation to take a participant from 250 to 100 in these rankings.
That’s to say, actually take these “remainder of season” rankings for what they’re: A greatest try at highlighting who’s sizzling and has the schedule left to assist your fantasy staff.
Gamers to focus on
Braden Holtby, G, Vancouver Canucks (ranked No. 26): With the utmost 10 fantasy video games left and Thatcher Demko on the mend, that may be sufficient to make Holtby a fantasy goal. When you think about how robust he is carried out for the reason that staff returned to motion, he turns into a prime choice. Even when Demko heals up shortly, Holtby’s output of late justifies a cut up of the motion. And 5 video games at the least benchmark is about as many as any goaltender can count on going ahead. Holtby is on the free-agent checklist in 57% of leagues.
Mike Hoffman, W, St. Louis Blues (ranked No. 33): It certain has taken some time, however Hoffman is hitting a groove extra paying homage to what he is executed in earlier seasons. Taking part in at even power recently with Robert Thomas and Sammy Blais is sweet, however enjoying on the highest power-play unit with David Perron, Vladimir Tarasenko and Ryan O’Reilly is nice. Averaging greater than three.2 FPPG throughout his previous six, Hoffman additionally will get the advantage of 10 remaining video games. He is nonetheless accessible in 22% of leagues.
Chandler Stephenson, C, Vegas Golden Knights (ranked No. 65): He is been on the radar all season because of his sustained function because the pivot for Max Pacioretty and Mark Stone, however Stephenson has managed to be subsequent stage in current play. Going again 10 video games, Stephenson has averaged 2.2 FPPG. He is accessible in 71% of leagues.
Tyler Seguin, C, Dallas Stars (ranked No. 74): Eyeing a return someday this week, even a shadow of Seguin can be fantasy related if he is not 100 p.c of his ordinary self. It is definitely debatable whether or not holding him on the IR all season for the ultimate seven or eight video games was value it – most likely not, given the IR stints we have seen within the league this season. However that was then and that is now. Seguin is out there in 70% of ESPN leagues as a free agent.
Joonas Donskoi, W, Colorado Avalanche (ranked No. 84): Anticipated again from COVID protocol for the ultimate 10 video games of the season, Donskoi will seemingly slip again into his function because the fourth ahead on the ability play – as he was nonetheless succeeding within the job previous to lacking time. Which means loads of ice time with Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog, Mikko Rantanen and Cale Makar on the person benefit. That stated, any heat physique positioned on the ice with that foursome goes to supply and there is not any assure it is Donskoi. Goal whoever does get the function (Andre Burakovsky, J.T. Compher are prospects).
Andrew Copp, C, Winnipeg Jets (ranked No. 121): With information that Nikolaj Ehlers is down for the rest of the common season, Copp will get locked right into a top-six function going ahead. He is averaged 1.9 FPPG this season, and loads of these video games have been spent exterior the Jets scoring traces.
Nate Schmidt, D, Vancouver Canucks (ranked No. 128): A fantasy issue final season, Schmidt spent most of this season not getting sufficient fantasy factors to be part of plans. However his output has been higher each earlier than and after the Canucks COVID shutdown. Through the previous 9 video games (5 earlier than shutdown, 4 after), Schmidt has managed no less than 1.1 fantasy factors and averaged 1.6. That is loads to be a closing defenseman in your roster – particularly if you need to use all 10 of his remaining fantasy video games.
Marco Scandella, D, St. Louis Blues (ranked No. 157): He is not getting sufficient factors on common to be value it, however for individuals who need not sweat a most video games performed restrict at a roster place (or are trending towards not reaching a threshold), use Scandella for amount over high quality. The 10 video games remaining and his 1.four FPPG throughout the previous month put him in play over higher defenseman on groups with fewer video games.
Nathan Bastian, W, New Jersey Devils (ranked No. 176): Manufacturing is manufacturing. Do I believe Miles Wood and Nathan Bastian on a line could be a fantasy issue on paper? Most likely not. However Bastian leads all Devils with 1.9 FPPG throughout the previous month – which is a charge greater than ample for fantasy manufacturing. The trades of Kyle Palmieri and Travis Zajac cleared up loads of ice time for others, and Bastian is taking benefit.
Fantasy hockey top-250 rankings
1. Nathan MacKinnon, C, Col (C1)
2. Connor McDavid, C, Edm (C2)
three. Mikko Rantanen, RW, Col (RW1)
four. Gabriel Landeskog, LW, Col (LW1)
5. Andrei Vasilevskiy, G, TB (G1)
6. Brad Marchand, LW, Bos (LW2)
7. Alec Martinez, D, Vgs (D1)
eight. Auston Matthews, C, Tor (C3)
9. Mike Smith, G, Edm (G2)
10. Cam Talbot, G, Min (G3)
11. Leon Draisaitl, LW, Edm (LW3)
12. Juuse Saros, G, Nsh (G4)
13. Bo Horvat, C, Van (C4)
14. Cale Makar, D, Col (D2)
15. Darnell Nurse, D, Edm (D3)
16. Robin Lehner, G, Vgs (G5)
17. Ryan O’Reilly, C, StL (C5)
18. Patrice Bergeron, C, Bos (C6)
19. Drew Doughty, D, LA (D4)
20. Kirill Kaprizov, LW, Min (LW4)
21. Alex Ovechkin, LW, Wsh (LW5)
22. Max Pacioretty, LW, Vgs (LW6)
23. Kevin Fiala, C, Min (C7)
24. Dougie Hamilton, D, Automobile (D5)
25. Vincent Trocheck, C, Automobile (C8)
26. Braden Holtby, G, Van (G6)
27. David Perron, RW, StL (RW2)
28. Jared Spurgeon, D, Min (D6)
29. Travis Hamonic, D, Van (D7)
30. Shea Theodore, D, Vgs (D8)
31. Artemi Panarin, LW, NYR (LW7)
32. Roope Hintz, C, Dal (C9)
33. Mike Hoffman, LW, StL (LW8)
34. Jack Campbell, G, Tor (G7)
35. Anze Kopitar, C, LA (C10)
36. Tyler Myers, D, Van (D9)
37. J.T. Miller, C, Van (C11)
38. Brock Boeser, RW, Van (RW3)
39. Mark Stone, RW, Vgs (RW4)
40. Alex DeBrincat, LW, Chi (LW9)
41. Jordan Binnington, G, StL (G8)
42. John Carlson, D, Wsh (D10)
43. Marc-Andre Fleury, G, Vgs (G9)
44. Jakob Chychrun, D, Ari (D11)
45. Adam Fox, D, NYR (D12)
46. Sidney Crosby, C, Pit (C12)
47. T.J. Oshie, RW, Wsh (RW5)
48. Vladimir Tarasenko, RW, StL (RW6)
49. Semyon Varlamov, G, NYI (G10)
50. Victor Hedman, D, TB (D13)
51. Alexander Edler, D, Van (D14)
52. Sebastian Aho, C, Automobile (C13)
53. Tyler Toffoli, RW, Mon (RW7)
54. Brayden Schenn, C, StL (C14)
55. Alex Pietrangelo, D, Vgs (D15)
56. David Pastrnak, RW, Bos (RW8)
57. Igor Shesterkin, G, NYR (G11)
58. Mika Zibanejad, C, NYR (C15)
59. Mitch Marner, RW, Tor (RW9)
60. Devon Toews, D, Col (D16)
61. Tyson Barrie, D, Edm (D17)
62. Jake Guentzel, LW, Pit (LW10)
63. Vince Dunn, D, StL (D18)
64. Quinn Hughes, D, Van (D19)
65. Chandler Stephenson, C, Vgs (C16)
66. Ivan Provorov, D, Phi (D20)
67. Justin Faulk, D, StL (D21)
68. Taylor Hall, LW, Bos (LW11)
69. Joe Pavelski, RW, Dal (RW10)
70. Mark Scheifele, C, Wpg (C17)
71. Torey Krug, D, StL (D22)
72. Brent Burns, D, SJ (D23)
73. John Tavares, C, Tor (C18)
74. Tyler Seguin, C, Dal (C19)
75. Aleksander Barkov, C, Fla (C20)
76. Dustin Brown, RW, LA (RW11)
77. Evander Kane, LW, SJ (LW12)
78. Mathew Dumba, D, Min (D24)
79. Patrick Kane, RW, Chi (RW12)
80. Tristan Jarry, G, Pit (G12)
81. Jeff Petry, D, Mon (D25)
82. Esa Lindell, D, Dal (D26)
83. Tyler Motte, LW, Van (LW13)
84. Joonas Donskoi, RW, Col (RW13)
85. Jason Robertson, LW, Dal (LW14)
86. Tomas Hertl, C, SJ (C21)
87. Shea Weber, D, Mon (D27)
88. Brady Tkachuk, LW, Ott (LW15)
89. Ryan Graves, D, Col (D28)
90. Jamie Benn, LW, Dal (LW16)
91. Alex Nedeljkovic, G, Automobile (G13)
92. Ondrej Palat, LW, TB (LW17)
93. Bryan Rust, RW, Pit (RW14)
94. Joel Eriksson Ek, C, Min (C22)
95. Connor Murphy, D, Chi (D29)
96. Charlie McAvoy, D, Bos (D30)
97. Adam Larsson, D, Edm (D31)
98. Jonathan Marchessault, LW, Vgs (LW18)
99. Brayden Point, C, TB (C23)
100. Tuukka Rask, G, Bos (G14)
101. Jacob Trouba, D, NYR (D32)
102. Connor Brown, RW, Ott (RW15)
103. Josh Anderson, RW, Mon (RW16)
104. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, C, Edm (C24)
105. Samuel Girard, D, Col (D33)
106. Sean Couturier, C, Phi (C25)
107. Martin Necas, C, Automobile (C26)
108. Jordan Staal, C, Automobile (C27)
109. Nicklas Backstrom, C, Wsh (C28)
110. Roman Josi, D, Nsh (D34)
111. Tanner Pearson, LW, Van (LW19)
112. Alex Goligoski, D, Ari (D35)
113. Joshua Norris, C, Ott (C29)
114. Jean-Gabriel Pageau, C, NYI (C30)
115. David Krejci, C, Bos (C31)
116. Mathew Barzal, C, NYI (C32)
117. Jonas Brodin, D, Min (D36)
118. Nick Bonino, C, Min (C33)
119. Anthony Mantha, RW, Wsh (RW17)
120. Kris Letang, D, Pit (D37)
121. Andrew Copp, C, Wpg (C34)
122. Sam Reinhart, RW, Buf (RW18)
123. Alex Tuch, RW, Vgs (RW19)
124. Mats Zuccarello, RW, Min (RW20)
125. Ryan Pulock, D, NYI (D38)
126. Colton Parayko, D, StL (D39)
127. Matt Grzelcyk, D, Bos (D40)
128. Nate Schmidt, D, Van (D41)
129. Alex Iafallo, LW, LA (LW20)
130. Kyle Connor, LW, Wpg (LW21)
131. Philipp Grubauer, G, Col (G15)
132. Andrei Svechnikov, LW, Automobile (LW22)
133. Jared McCann, LW, Pit (LW23)
134. Jake Muzzin, D, Tor (D42)
135. Connor Hellebuyck, G, Wpg (G16)
136. Pavel Buchnevich, RW, NYR (RW21)
137. Brandon Montour, D, Fla (D43)
138. Jaden Schwartz, LW, StL (LW24)
139. Craig Smith, RW, Bos (RW22)
140. Tom Wilson, RW, Wsh (RW23)
141. Jeff Carter, C, Pit (C35)
142. Andreas Athanasiou, LW, LA (LW25)
143. Travis Zajac, C, NYI (C36)
144. Brandon Sutter, C, Van (C37)
145. Thomas Chabot, D, Ott (D44)
146. Nick Suzuki, C, Mon (C38)
147. Sammy Blais, LW, StL (LW26)
148. Miro Heiskanen, D, Dal (D45)
149. Phil Kessel, RW, Ari (RW24)
150. John Klingberg, D, Dal (D46)
151. Andre Burakovsky, LW, Col (LW27)
152. Tyler Bozak, C, StL (C39)
153. Tomas Tatar, LW, Mon (LW28)
154. Drake Batherson, C, Ott (C40)
155. Adrian Kempe, C, LA (C41)
156. Jaccob Slavin, D, Automobile (D47)
157. Marco Scandella, D, StL (D48)
158. William Nylander, RW, Tor (RW25)
159. Timo Meier, RW, SJ (RW26)
160. Carter Verhaeghe, C, Fla (C42)
161. Erik Karlsson, D, SJ (D49)
162. Petr Mrazek, G, Automobile (G17)
163. Scott Mayfield, D, NYI (D50)
164. Dmitry Orlov, D, Wsh (D51)
165. Rasmus Ristolainen, D, Buf (D52)
166. William Karlsson, C, Vgs (C43)
167. Brett Pesce, D, Automobile (D53)
168. Jesper Bratt, RW, NJ (RW27)
169. Joel Edmundson, D, Mon (D54)
170. Neal Pionk, D, Wpg (D55)
171. Duncan Keith, D, Chi (D56)
172. Blake Wheeler, RW, Wpg (RW28)
173. Evgeny Kuznetsov, C, Wsh (C44)
174. Miles Wood, LW, NJ (LW29)
175. Nick Ritchie, LW, Bos (LW30)
176. Nathan Bastian, RW, NJ (RW29)
177. Shayne Gostisbehere, D, Phi (D57)
178. Jordan Eberle, RW, NYI (RW30)
179. Chris Kreider, LW, NYR (LW31)
180. Brandon Saad, LW, Col (LW32)
181. Ryan Suter, D, Min (D58)
182. Jesse Puljujarvi, RW, Edm (RW31)
183. Josh Morrissey, D, Wpg (D59)
184. Nino Niederreiter, RW, Automobile (RW32)
185. Anthony Beauvillier, LW, NYI (LW33)
186. Ryan Strome, C, NYR (C45)
187. James van Riemsdyk, LW, Phi (LW34)
188. Ilya Samsonov, G, Wsh (G18)
189. Valeri Nichushkin, RW, Col (RW33)
190. Zach Parise, LW, Min (LW35)
191. Yanni Gourde, LW, TB (LW36)
192. Ryan Hartman, RW, Min (RW34)
193. Will Butcher, D, NJ (D60)
194. Ryan McDonagh, D, TB (D61)
195. Jakub Voracek, RW, Phi (RW35)
196. P.K. Subban, D, NJ (D62)
197. Logan Couture, C, SJ (C46)
198. David Savard, D, TB (D63)
199. Denis Gurianov, LW, Dal (LW37)
200. Pavel Zacha, C, NJ (C47)
201. Nico Hischier, C, NJ (C48)
202. Jakub Vrana, C, Det (C49)
203. Brian Dumoulin, D, Pit (D64)
204. Claude Giroux, LW, Phi (LW38)
205. Dominik Kubalik, LW, Chi (LW39)
206. Justin Schultz, D, Wsh (D65)
207. Mattias Janmark, LW, Vgs (LW40)
208. Travis Konecny, RW, Phi (RW36)
209. Travis Sanheim, D, Phi (D66)
210. Mikhail Sergachev, D, TB (D67)
211. Seth Jones, D, Cls (D68)
212. Brock Nelson, C, NYI (C50)
213. Ilya Sorokin, G, NYI (G19)
214. Jonathan Huberdeau, LW, Fla (LW41)
215. Patric Hornqvist, RW, Fla (RW37)
216. Jordan Greenway, LW, Min (LW42)
217. Blake Coleman, LW, TB (LW43)
218. Pius Suter, C, Chi (C51)
219. Marcus Johansson, LW, Min (LW44)
220. Jack Hughes, C, NJ (C52)
221. Kailer Yamamoto, RW, Edm (RW38)
222. Elias Lindholm, RW, Cgy (RW39)
223. Nazem Kadri, C, Col (C53)
224. Josh Manson, D, Ana (D69)
225. Christian Dvorak, LW, Ari (LW45)
226. Ryan Ellis, D, Nsh (D70)
227. Kyle Palmieri, RW, NYI (RW40)
228. Anton Khudobin, G, Dal (G20)
229. Eeli Tolvanen, LW, Nsh (LW46)
230. Phillip Danault, C, Mon (C54)
231. Rasmus Dahlin, D, Buf (D71)
232. Nick Leddy, D, NYI (D72)
233. Erik Cernak, D, TB (D73)
234. Chris Driedger, G, Fla (G21)
235. Ben Chiarot, D, Mon (D74)
236. Brian Elliott, G, Phi (G22)
237. Mark Giordano, D, Cgy (D75)
238. Nikita Zaitsev, D, Ott (D76)
239. Pierre-Luc Dubois, C, Wpg (C55)
240. Corey Perry, RW, Mon (RW41)
241. Max Comtois, LW, Ana (LW47)
242. Morgan Rielly, D, Tor (D77)
243. Nick Schmaltz, C, Ari (C56)
244. Olli Maatta, D, LA (D78)
245. Conor Garland, RW, Ari (RW42)
246. Kasperi Kapanen, RW, Pit (RW43)
247. Anthony Duclair, LW, Fla (LW48)
248. Joel Farabee, LW, Phi (LW49)
249. Nick Foligno, LW, Tor (LW50)
250. Oliver Ekman-Larsson, D, Ari (D79)