The Virginia Cavaliers (9-2) host the Morgan State Bears (4-10) on Wednesday in one of just two Division-I college basketball games on the day’s schedule. The Cavaliers lead the series 3-0, including a dominant 83-45 win over the Bears in 2018. Virginia has won 16 of its last 18 games at home. On the other side, Morgan State is looking for its first road win of the season.
Tipoff from John Paul Jones Arena in Virginia is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Cavaliers are 26-point favorites in the latest Morgan State vs. Virginia odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 132. Before making any Virginia vs. Morgan State picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 8 of the 2023-24 season on a 101-64 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $2,000 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 11-3 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on UVA vs. Morgan State. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines and trends for Morgan State vs. UVA:
- Virginia vs. Morgan State spread: UVA -26
- Virginia vs. Morgan State over/under: 132 points
- Virginia vs. Morgan State money line: UVA -10000, Morgan State +2300
- Virginia vs. Morgan State picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Virginia can cover
Sophomore guard Ryan Dunn is a lockdown defender who uses his great combination of quickness and length. The New York native can be very disruptive as a shot-blocker and has a knack for steals. He ranks second in the ACC in both steals (2.3) and blocks (2.5) with 9.1 points per game. In his last outing, Dunn totaled 11 points, 11 rebounds, two steals and two blocks.
Senior forward Jake Groves gives this group a mobile shooter in the frontcourt. Groves logs 8.2 points and shoots 42% from beyond the arc. In the loss to Memphis, he racked up 12 points, three rebounds and made two 3-pointers. Freshman guard Leon Bond III gives the Cavaliers an athletic scorer off the bench. Bond III is most effective when attacking the basket. The Wisconsin native averages 7.1 points and 3.6 rebounds per game. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why Morgan State can cover
Junior guard Kamron Hobbs averages 10.1 points, 4.1 assists and makes 39% of his 3-pointers. In his last outing, Hobbs racked up 16 points, four boards and three assists. He’s scored at least 14 points in four games this season.
Junior forward Will Thomas is an athletic, downhill scorer. Thomas can finish through contact and owns a soft touch around the rim. The Maryland native is putting up 10.1 points and 4.1 rebounds per game. In Friday’s loss to James Madison, Thomas notched 20 points, five boards and three assists. He’s scored 20-plus points in three of his last four games. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Morgan State vs. Virginia picks
The model has simulated this matchup 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Morgan State vs. Virginia, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 101-64 roll on its top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.